Exilian

Art, Writing, and Learning: The Clerisy Quarter => Discussion and Debate - The Philosopher's Plaza => Topic started by: Jubal on May 19, 2014, 09:26:56 PM

Title: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 19, 2014, 09:26:56 PM
European elections in a couple of days!

Currently looking like our anti-European nutcase party might win.  :-\
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: Othko97 on May 19, 2014, 09:40:34 PM
I hope not :-/ Anyone else see that interview of him with James O'Brien?
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: TTG4 on May 20, 2014, 08:25:43 AM
I hope not :-/ Anyone else see that interview of him with James O'Brien?

Complete car-crash. The trouble is that he's taken a populist line, which has combined with the general distrust of politicians at the moment to give them a huge advantage. I doubt that anything could turn the tide now, though there's always hope they'll go the way of the BNP.
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: Jubal on May 20, 2014, 11:20:43 AM
Okay, the EU elections use the d'Hondt system. The d'Hondt system is fun!

Basically you have a big-ass constituency, say East of England. This place elects 7 MEPs.

You vote for parties, not candidates. What you then do is take the percentages, say:
UKIP 30
LAB 20
CON 18
LD 10
GRN 8

Each party then scores what it scored, and half that, and a third that, and a quarter that, and so on, so:

UKIP 30 15 10 7.5
LAB 20 10 6.6
CON 18 9 6
LD 10 5 3.3
GRN 8 4

Then you pick the top seven scores
UKIP 30 15 10 7.5
LAB 20 10 6.6
CON 18 9 6
LD 10 5 3.3
GRN 8 4

And so in this case UKIP get 3 MEPs, Labour 2, Tories and Lib Dems 1.

Does that make sense?
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: Pentagathus on May 20, 2014, 01:53:52 PM
It does indeed. Presumably makes it difficult for independent candidates to be elected.
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: Jubal on May 20, 2014, 02:04:41 PM
Yes, though they still can be, they just count as a list of one person (so if in the below example Jonny Independent had 12% of the vote he'd have got a seat). I think more generally independents are rarely elected in systems with huge area seats, as usually to be elected as an independent you need to be personally known in an area.
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: TTG4 on May 21, 2014, 03:39:21 PM
Okay, the EU elections use the d'Hondt system. The d'Hondt system is fun!

Basically you have a big-ass constituency, say East of England. This place elects 7 MEPs.

You vote for parties, not candidates. What you then do is take the percentages, say:
UKIP 30
LAB 20
CON 18
LD 10
GRN 8

Each party then scores what it scored, and half that, and a third that, and a quarter that, and so on, so:

UKIP 30 15 10 7.5
LAB 20 10 6.6
CON 18 9 6
LD 10 5 3.3
GRN 8 4

Then you pick the top seven scores
UKIP 30 15 10 7.5
LAB 20 10 6.6
CON 18 9 6
LD 10 5 3.3
GRN 8 4

And so in this case UKIP get 3 MEPs, Labour 2, Tories and Lib Dems 1.

Does that make sense?

So I just remembered a leaflet the greens circulated a few weeks ago. They were saying they only needed 1% more of the vote to get a seat, which not knowing the full ins and outs of it I thought seemed accurate. But from what you say here it seems they're just cynically spinning the fact that most people don't know the full story just that it's some sort of proportional system. Sneaky.

Also I really hope UKIP don't do as well as you suggest, but I fear they will... Though if they do they'll probably collapse at the general again, after all, Farrage said on Today he would 'do a deal with the devil to get a referendum', I doubt that'll be popular, considering how much hate the lib dems got for going into coalition with the tories.
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: Pentagathus on May 21, 2014, 03:52:22 PM
For anyone who wants a laugh check out the BNP representatives for scotland:
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/scotland-european-candidates-2014/
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: TTG4 on May 21, 2014, 05:35:43 PM
For anyone who wants a laugh check out the BNP representatives for scotland:
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/scotland-european-candidates-2014/ (http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/scotland-european-candidates-2014/)

Who the heck are 'Britain first' and why does their logo look like a confectionary bar?
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: Pentagathus on May 21, 2014, 05:46:30 PM
A BNP offshoot, ie a bunch of moronic ballbags.
Title: Re: Re: In the News
Post by: Jubal on May 21, 2014, 06:46:02 PM
Re Britain First: They have a very popular Facebook page, which they've built up rather cleverly by having popular meme posts (eg "We need to support our soldiers, like and share if you agree!"). Their key backer is the guy who used to be in charge of BNP fundraising and it looks like they're working very hard on raising cash. I've seen it suggested that they may in fact be partly a moneymaking front as they're plugging donations very hard despite having almost no candidates. It's also odd that they're only standing in Wales and Scotland, which are hardly the best parts of the UK for the far right.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 22, 2014, 10:15:29 AM
Now in new separate topic format!

I may geek out at you with bits of news as news happens :)
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Gen_Glory on May 22, 2014, 11:25:47 AM
Am in east of england, can't vote atm because they are using my little brother's school as a polling station so I have to look after him at home :/

Won't be surprised if UKIP get majority in east of england.

Did you guys hear about the UKIP youth leader resigning?
The ex leader of the UKIP youth wing said in a public resignation that she was leaving Ukip because abandoned its core supporters and now appealed to the “stupidity of ignorant anti-immigrant voters for electoral gain”.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Gen_Glory on May 22, 2014, 11:26:42 AM
Also the those BNP candidates seem like they are better suited to crimewatch mugshots
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on May 22, 2014, 01:00:59 PM
So I was genuinely surprised by the amount of euroskeptics on the ballot paper. I hope they manage to split the far-right vote, but I doubt they'll do enough to melt the UKIP snowball.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on May 22, 2014, 01:45:07 PM
You guys' election stuff is weird. :P

Then again that's just because it's different from ours, which is totally fubar.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 22, 2014, 03:27:23 PM
We only use d'Hondt for elections to the European parliament, most of our elections use the same plurality voting system as yours.

And yeah, No2EU and An Independence From Europe will be interesting to watch though I doubt they'll get far. One of my few really positive hopes for this election is that we might wipe out BNP representation in Europe, which would be good.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on May 22, 2014, 03:36:11 PM
Wiping out the BNP can only ever be a good thing. The Christian People's Alliance could be quite interesting too, they managed to get 100,000 votes in the london mayor election and may attract the disaffected tories who aren't seduced by UKIP/N2EU/AIFE.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on May 23, 2014, 01:28:37 PM
The local election results are quite worrying. UKIP has hit 25% of the vote and I highly doubt anyone would vote UKIP in the locals and not in the EUs. From my point of view, it's disappointing that the lib dem vote fell so harshly, whereas the tories survived relatively well. Call me a pessimist, but I'm not looking forward to the EU results.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on May 23, 2014, 03:29:25 PM
I think these election results could well push scotland further towards independance, UKIP don't seem very popular here. And the tories obviously aren't.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on May 23, 2014, 04:08:32 PM
I think these election results could well push scotland further towards independance, UKIP don't seem very popular here. And the tories obviously aren't.

I hope not, I get that you Scots don't like us, but no-one deserves to be stuck with the tories!
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on May 23, 2014, 04:12:48 PM
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 23, 2014, 05:18:23 PM
I should point out that Penty isn't a Scot, he's just doing his degree there :P

So, Cambridge went heavily to Labour, unsurprisingly.

Labour have gained 263 councillors so far, which is actually pretty good. UKIP have gained 146 by comparison, and apart from a few places in East Anglia have made a pretty minimal difference to the actual results anywhere, mostly picking up 2-3 councillors in solid Tory or Labour councils. The Lib Dems have lost very heavily, but have still had 384 councillors elected to UKIP's 148, which is a narrative that has been rather skewed by the news media. They lost control of Kingston, Cambridge, and Plymouth though which will be a nasty blow.

Generally the news guys are really desperate to make UKIP the story, when in terms of seats Labour's gains are way bigger and having much more local government impact. This seems rather silly.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on May 23, 2014, 06:51:34 PM
Yeah I looked at the results dans la bbc and they didn't seem so bad.

Also I'm not one of them no. I just live here, I'm not from here.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on May 23, 2014, 08:50:51 PM
Ok, so it's not "full" full of Scots. :P
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on May 23, 2014, 08:57:07 PM
Its less full of scots than england is full of english.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on May 23, 2014, 09:28:01 PM
Well then.... 'Murica.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 24, 2014, 12:12:58 AM
After 150 councils:

Labour 6 net gains (10 gains, 2 losses)
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

No Overall Control 7 net gains (12 gains, 5 losses)
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Conservatives 11 net losses (1 gain, 12 losses)
Spoiler (click to show/hide)

Liberal Democrats 2 net losses (2 losses)
Spoiler (click to show/hide)



Not sure what any of that tells us, really.

Further points wrt the media narrative:
- UKIP have no councils, they're not even close to gaining a council anywhere, though that could change in a few areas.
- The Lib Dems lost two councils but still hold six local authorities and despite very heavy losses still got a good 400 councillors elected (obviously that's tough when you were defending about 700 seats, but it still means they're playing in a mid-range ballpark with more than double UKIP's councillor figure.
- Really a pretty good night for Labour, but UKIP did prove that it can do them a bit of damage on the east coast - Thurrock, NE Lincs, and Great Yarmouth are all coastal areas.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on May 24, 2014, 12:25:17 AM
Wish I had time to properly discuss but just so the right has a +1 here, I am come.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 24, 2014, 12:27:27 AM
Yeah, sorry the Exilian news coverage tends to be rather left-of-centre.  :P
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on May 24, 2014, 12:03:06 PM
Jubal, I see what you're trying to say with the fact that UKIP still don't really hold power, but they've grown hugely in this set of elections. I suspect that if they continue to grow as they do they may draw to a level with the lib dems, given the polling figures. Then again, this may just be an artefact caused by having the locals & EU elections on the same day. I suppose we'll see on Sunday just what the real damage is.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 24, 2014, 12:35:51 PM
All the polling has indicated UKIP may have the best turnout, too, mind - I imagine they'll do well on Sunday, but according to Lord Ashcroft's polling only half their Euro voters would actually support them at a GE.

They also don't have areas like Sutton, Lonsdale or Eastleigh where they have a crushing base of council support - these Lib Dem fortress areas will help a lot of Lib Dems cling on in 2015 even with a disastrous national vote share, whereas UKIP will at best break through in a few coastal seats like Yarmouth or Thurrock.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on May 25, 2014, 11:42:31 AM
Yeah, sorry the Exilian news coverage tends to be rather left-of-centre.  :P

Hehe, I don't mind. It's nice to get different perspectives, even if they are commie perspectives :P

UKIP still need to go over some major hurdles to be seen as an actual option to lead the country. I doubt they'll actually do much on their own but hopefully the support for them will show the other parties that being in the EU isn't what the majority (of voters) want, it's a closer thing now than it has been but really I'm of the mind that it's more or less immigration that people are against than anything else. That's generally what I've heard from many former conservative voters anyway.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 25, 2014, 08:58:04 PM
I'm not a communist! I'm more a kind of radically liberal social democrat.  :P

Anyway... buckle up, ladies and gentlemen, 'cos it's 9pm GMT, the polls are closed, and here come the European results.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on May 25, 2014, 09:16:27 PM
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 25, 2014, 10:01:28 PM
Exit Polls:

National Front neo-fascist far right win in France, that's very depressing.
SYRIZA, coalition of the radical left, apparently win in Greece
Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats seem to be still top in Germany.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Son of the King on May 25, 2014, 10:29:01 PM
Looks like UKIP are doing well...
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on May 25, 2014, 10:40:56 PM
Looks like UKIP are doing well...

They've gained an MEP from the lib dems in the east of england. The north east seems to have stayed fairly labour.

What's really interesting is in Newark council area (not quite the same as the Newark parliamentary constituency) UKIP had 32%, Con had 31% and lab had 28% (I think) which could make for an interesting by-election campaign in the coming weeks.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Gen_Glory on May 26, 2014, 09:02:20 AM
woo my vote got the east a LAB MEP
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on May 26, 2014, 10:07:41 AM
Don't know what my vote got, scotland hasn't finished counting votes yet. Hopefully no UKIP MEPs here.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 26, 2014, 11:02:40 AM
My own vote failed to save the East's veteran Lib Dem MEP. Looks very much like the Scots will have a UKIP MEP sadly.

Re Newark, I'd say that points to a clear Tory hold to be honest, UKIP always have a sizeable body of Tory vote-switchers for the Europeans so I'd be shocked if they could hold onto those voters at the by-election (though it's not impossible).

Finally, an interesting fact - this is the first time the Conservatives have come third in a national UK election. And I don't mean first time since WWII, or first time since 1900. It has literally never happened before, ever. The only other time they've come even with ten percent of doing so was, if I'm right, the 1923 general election.

I'll also repost my slightly gloomy FB status about the election:
Quote
So, the European elections. I am not, in myself, terrified - not quite yet. But I am saddened, and I am unsettled, both at the results in Britain and more so at those across Europe. I am saddened because I believe that, whatever you may think of the structures of European governance, we are stronger in brotherhood and sisterhood than immersed in isolation and vanity. Saddened, too, at the fact that my country is now predominantly represented by two parties in favour of kicking the poorest and most vulnerable people in our society into the gutter. But worst of all, I am unsettled that in fear and anger the peoples of Europe are in many countries seeing their salvation posing with flags and banners - and a nationalism of a sort we have not seen growing strong for many years. This is not a nationalism that celebrates our achievements - it is one which celebrates only our differences, that "we" are not "them" and "they" are not "us". It is the nationalism of blind pride, at a time when Europe may just be beginning to forget where that can lead. It is the nationalism of darker times - and tomorrow, Europe will see day dawn just a little darker.

I genuinely mean all that. I think the rise of nationalists and ultra-nationalists is very disturbing, but if anything gives us a new reason to be inside the EU - because as we know these are European-wide phenomena and if we shut ourselves off from them there is no way we will somehow gain immunity via the English Channel.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on May 26, 2014, 12:56:14 PM
What shocked me was the fact the Green vote was so strong, pushing the lib dems down into 5th. I don't understand how they've got such popularity with policies in several areas that just make no sense at all.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on May 26, 2014, 01:03:59 PM
Well I voted for the hippies largely to try and keep UKIP from gaining an MEP, I'm pretty sure I wasn't the only one.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on May 26, 2014, 01:54:53 PM
Well I voted for the hippies largely to try and keep UKIP from gaining an MEP, I'm pretty sure I wasn't the only one.

Hopefully that means their vote will collapse for the generals. I'm not sure UKIP will be able to keep hold for the generals either. People seem to 'care' more about the westminster elections than EU ones.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 26, 2014, 03:52:42 PM
Also the Green vote wasn't *that* strong, it actually dropped most of a percentage point from last time. The Lib Dems just dropped a lot more.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on May 27, 2014, 02:29:35 AM
I'll also repost my slightly gloomy FB status about the election:
Quote
So, the European elections. I am not, in myself, terrified - not quite yet. But I am saddened, and I am unsettled, both at the results in Britain and more so at those across Europe. I am saddened because I believe that, whatever you may think of the structures of European governance, we are stronger in brotherhood and sisterhood than immersed in isolation and vanity. Saddened, too, at the fact that my country is now predominantly represented by two parties in favour of kicking the poorest and most vulnerable people in our society into the gutter. But worst of all, I am unsettled that in fear and anger the peoples of Europe are in many countries seeing their salvation posing with flags and banners - and a nationalism of a sort we have not seen growing strong for many years. This is not a nationalism that celebrates our achievements - it is one which celebrates only our differences, that "we" are not "them" and "they" are not "us". It is the nationalism of blind pride, at a time when Europe may just be beginning to forget where that can lead. It is the nationalism of darker times - and tomorrow, Europe will see day dawn just a little darker.

I genuinely mean all that. I think the rise of nationalists and ultra-nationalists is very disturbing, but if anything gives us a new reason to be inside the EU - because as we know these are European-wide phenomena and if we shut ourselves off from them there is no way we will somehow gain immunity via the English Channel.

Jub as always your speech is impassioned and full of flourish but with an odd lack of, for a lack of a better word, reality.

Subjective/incorrect/misleading points:

EU isn't a brotherhood, sisterhood or any other friendship. It's a business deal. Not being a part of it isn't vanity, it's practicality. Switzerland is vain? Right, didn't think so.

Neither the EU nor Conservatives want to kick the poorest anywhere. Working class conservatives and UKIP supporters are the mainstay of the vote, Lab supporters are more likely going to be middle class apologists than any other party (and have been for a few years now, by the way).

Fear plays a part in voting out of the EU, sure. It's a fairly normal thing to be afraid of losing cultural identity to the volume of immigrants, or in our leaders who think that paying money to a club which we get so little in return is a good idea. Anger? No, not against Europe, not at all. Europe is great. Anger against the people that bought the country a seat at a circle jerk with taxpayer money? Yeah I'm pretty sure that's justified.

Nationalism is a good thing. It's easiest to see with American brand of nationalism as the British are generally 'meh' about most things, especially ourselves. Would America be as great as it is if its people were ambivalent about being American? Hell no. What makes it great is that a huge proportion of the people are very proud of the country they live in, have respect for their ancestors and what they did to make the country great. To be otherwise is at least doing yourself a disservice and at worst being disrespectful to the men and women from generations past who have suffered though the difficulties to make a country what it is today.

Just because you're happy to be one nation doesn't mean you hate the others, it's a friendly rivalry, it's free market.

EDIT: Not in that post but others have: calling UKIP fascists is just plain stupid. They're not authoritarian for one, not violent for another and don't use cultish symbolism for the third.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on May 27, 2014, 08:41:05 AM
EU isn't a brotherhood, sisterhood or any other friendship. It's a business deal. Not being a part of it isn't vanity, it's practicality. Switzerland is vain? Right, didn't think so.
Well no, the EU is much more than just a business deal, which is the main reason anti-EU sentiment is so popular. A re-structuring of the EU, or at least a re-negotiation of our relationship with it would probably be enough to satisfy most EU sceptics. I for one would be much happier with a trade agreement such as Norway or Switzerland have.

Fear plays a part in voting out of the EU, sure. It's a fairly normal thing to be afraid of losing cultural identity to the volume of immigrants,
I'd say its not. I'm pretty sure I don't many people who are afraid of losing their cultural identity, your own cultural identity is a private thing and unless you're scared that immigrants are actually going to brainwash you then there really is no logical reason to believe you'll lose it due to immigration. Not to mention the fact that the volume of immigrants is not nearly as great as made out to be by right  leaning media.
And of course culture is not a static thing, much of our current culture is brought from outside of britain in the first place. Well all of it is if you go back far enough.  But what if I were to live outside of the UK for a while? I might well pick up new cultural influences that might not fit in with conventional british cultural identity. So would I now be unwelcome? Afterall I'm probably more likely to influence my british friends and family than a group of economic migrants are.
[/quote]

Nationalism is a good thing. It's easiest to see with American brand of nationalism as the British are generally 'meh' about most things, especially ourselves. Would America be as great as it is if its people were ambivalent about being American? Hell no. What makes it great is that a huge proportion of the people are very proud of the country they live in, have respect for their ancestors and what they did to make the country great. To be otherwise is at least doing yourself a disservice and at worst being disrespectful to the men and women from generations past who have suffered though the difficulties to make a country what it is today.
So should the descendants of slavers and racists in America be proud of said ancestors? Should I be proud of my ancestors who violently conquered a vast empire for their own vanity and greed and started the previously mentioned slave trade? There's plenty of armadillo to go along with the "greatness" of my ancestors and I'd rather not tarnish myself with that thanks. I'd say I take some pride in being british, in being part of a society that is largely tolerant and welcoming to alternative ways of life. But more importantly I'd say I'm grateful to have been brought up in such a society.
The problem with nationalism is that it can blind people to the faults in their own nation and lead to them looking outside for someone to blame instead of tackling the real roots of their problems. I suspect America would be a better place if its inhabitants were more open to introspection and willing to acknowledge their own faults. Not that the same doesn't apply for us of course.

But I'm really not worried by the election results, UKIP have no councils under their control which seems like a pretty good indicator they won't win many seats in a general election, whilst their gains in the european elections don't worry me at all since I'd actually like to see a referendum on the EU (although I'd prefer for it be on a re-negotiated EU relationship such as what Davey C has proposed) and there should still be enough level heads representing us in the EU for now.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on May 27, 2014, 12:02:14 PM
Well no, the EU is much more than just a business deal, which is the main reason anti-EU sentiment is so popular. A re-structuring of the EU, or at least a re-negotiation of our relationship with it would probably be enough to satisfy most EU sceptics. I for one would be much happier with a trade agreement such as Norway or Switzerland have.

Sorry, are you saying the anti-EU sentiment is because the EU isn't a business deal? If it was just about playing happy buggers with the rest of Europe I can't see how anyone would mind. It's the laws, policies and money which, by the way, culminates in a business deal that people are unhappy about.

Just in case anyone was wondering, the European trading bloc is still a thing also, even if we were out of the EU we'd still have trade, only we could set the import tax and not a body that has no interest in our little island whatsoever. Which is why it's a good thing like Penty says. Yay, I get to agree about something! :P

I'd say its not. I'm pretty sure I don't many people who are afraid of losing their cultural identity, your own cultural identity is a private thing and unless you're scared that immigrants are actually going to brainwash you then there really is no logical reason to believe you'll lose it due to immigration. Not to mention the fact that the volume of immigrants is not nearly as great as made out to be by right  leaning media.
And of course culture is not a static thing, much of our current culture is brought from outside of britain in the first place. Well all of it is if you go back far enough.  But what if I were to live outside of the UK for a while? I might well pick up new cultural influences that might not fit in with conventional british cultural identity. So would I now be unwelcome? Afterall I'm probably more likely to influence my british friends and family than a group of economic migrants are.

This will take a bit of writing. And it's just plain wrong that the media is right biased when the opposite is true. UKIP candidates get singled out constantly for minor slip ups whereas frequently LD and Lab are made out to be pulling the country back, which is also wrong given how we're doing better (projections and short term) economically with Conservative economics than Labour.

I don't know how often you go to any of the big cities but it's now difficult to argue that cultural identity in some places is compromised. London, the very capital of our country has areas where UK law is superceded by Sharia, same with  Manchester. Segments of cities cut themselves off from the rest, don't speak our language, have their own schools, dives, whatever. It's here in Northampton btw as well, which isn't exactly a big place. In and of itself it's fine, small communities of different nationalities are great, they add so much character and vibrancy but these communities are constantly growing and usually at a rate much higher than the native population.

I love culture, I'm always learning new languages to better integrate myself in foreign countries I can speak decent French, Spanish, Italian with basics in Swedish, German, Portuguese and Arabic. This is not me speaking out of fear or anger or racism or anything like that. Picking up cultural traits is brilliant, I wouldn't for an instant want a purely British country, like many others all I'm saying is that, for now, we have enough people here.

Economic migrants? Not all, not even close and these are the ones that usually learn English and integrate themselves. It's not about influencing people so much, having other cultures influence you helps build a fondness towards them and, hell, we only live 80 years give or take, it's about influencing the area, the architecture etc.

So should the descendants of slavers and racists in America be proud of said ancestors? Should I be proud of my ancestors who violently conquered a vast empire for their own vanity and greed and started the previously mentioned slave trade? There's plenty of armadillo to go along with the "greatness" of my ancestors and I'd rather not tarnish myself with that thanks. I'd say I take some pride in being british, in being part of a society that is largely tolerant and welcoming to alternative ways of life. But more importantly I'd say I'm grateful to have been brought up in such a society.
The problem with nationalism is that it can blind people to the faults in their own nation and lead to them looking outside for someone to blame instead of tackling the real roots of their problems. I suspect America would be a better place if its inhabitants were more open to introspection and willing to acknowledge their own faults. Not that the same doesn't apply for us of course.

The British Empire is still talked about in India as being the best thing to happen to it. Vanity and greed? It's sentiments like this that just have no bearing at all, does anyone know the motivations for carving an Empire? Maybe they did it on a whim for armadillos and giggles, for power and respect, so that France wouldn't laugh at us? Nope, don't think so. Creating an Empire is a monetary investment which is what brings it prestige, not the amount of land you own but how well you can develop it. You acquire a piece of land, peacefully through agreements or not, either way, it doesn't matter all that much (for the next step, not ethically, that's another barrel). Then, because the indigenous population isn't as technologically advanced you bring in these technologies, ways of thinking, etc and uplift them. They may resist due to unfamiliarity or not understand the change at first but after it has been integrated the population sees it for what it is. With India it went well until the East India Company started doing dick things and the Sepoys mutinied but whatever, that was the fault of the admin, not the procedure of colonisation.

That is the ideal scenario. It's the goal but it doesn't always work out that way as I'm sure you can provide many examples of.

The slave trade, welp this'll be a can of worms and things are likely going to be taken out of context but here goes. Hate to use such a pointless argument but if the roles were reversed (the slaves were the slavers of the time and vice versa) you think they would have done anything differently? Nope. We aren't at fault for it, there is no need for anyone for a few generations now to have anything to be sorry about over it. Wasn't us, it was our ancestors. Yes their accomplishments were built on the backs of slaves but they still did great things they just went about doing them totally wrong. It doesn't excuse them but taken as separate as they should be, great things were done. Railways, factories, steam power, proper industrialisation. We made the world better for having those things, British inventors and engineers. So yes, overall I can say that yep, I'm proud to be a part of this nation. I firmly believe all nations are introspective of themselves even if they appear not to be at all. Even France.

UKIP have done well in the European elections, no denying that and while they themselves are set to thinking that this will translate into the general elections, I'm pretty skeptical. I think what will happen though is that at least some parties will take notice that the things that UKIP are about are real issues that concern a good size of the population and hopefully at least think about.

It's easy to take swings at the government but a lot more difficult to acknowledge what the problem actually is, can any of us know? Nope, we don't have access to the collection of data that they do, we have to trust our government that they are making the right decision, and if they aren't then we use democracy to its fullest.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on May 27, 2014, 12:44:44 PM
I'm going to be brief this time because I should really get back to revising, might expand later.

Yes I'm saying anti-EU sentiment is because the EU isn't a business deal, it goes well past that. Open borders, CAP, European Court of Human Rights (or whatever the portugal its called) etc are definitely not needed for a business deal. This is just semantics really, it seems like we agree that the EU has too much power over its members as is.

I said right leaning media I think, not all media.

As to areas where immigrants haven't integrated, they are having less effect on cultural identity than those that do integrate. Holding themselves separate doesn't affect native culture much, it instead means you have separate  cultures within one area. I'd agree its not generally a good thing to have large proportions of migrants not being integrated into our culture but perhaps that suggests we need a new approach to integration.

I'm going to have to leave the Empire stuff for later, but are you suggesting that the slave trade was redeemed by the fact that it drove industrial progress? Because that I cannot agree with at all, and it is impossible to take the slave trade and the Empire separately when they were not separate.
You said we don't need to feel guilt for the fact our ancestors exploited slavery because it was long ago and not our own acts. I agree but I could (and do) say exactly the same of our ancestors' achievements.

Edit:
Also I'd prefer the tories to win over labour at the next general election despite the fact I'm generally left leaning. Thats because I suspect labour would carry on the same path as the tories but portugal it up by trying to appear left wing when in fact they're as centralist as the tories are. Ie they're two different buckets of the same armadillo, but the tory bucket seems to leak less.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 27, 2014, 01:55:47 PM
I'm not a European federalist, I'd just like to get that clear. I do however believe in some level of EU existence and membership, with the following points:
- The CAP and other European-wide legislation is often un-necessary, but
- actually some of it is very useful, such as directives on employment rights. Having European-wide employment rules does a lot to help stop our businesses being undercut by parts of Europe with cheaper labour. That's the sort of thing that for me is a real gain from the EU, besides which it stops governments watering down European-wide statements of rights. That's the sort of thing that I'd say is a benefit of the EU.
- Also the EU has done huge amounts of work in areas where national governments have failed to deliver, for example in heritage work, in restoring war-torn parts of the Balkans, and ironically in providing protection and recognition for local identities.
- I think the single currency was a mistake, unless the countries within it want a federal budget.
- Trade agreements are obviously good, up to a point, but I think actually countries need better powers to stop companies taking advantage of that and bouncing all over the shop paying near-zilch taxes.
- EU power over its members is massively overplayed, the council of ministers has an effective veto on just about all legislation. If you want to ask why so much is being generated, ask William Hague why he's not preventing it.

On the EHCR: yes, we should be in the European Court of Human Rights. No, the European Court of Human Rights does not have anything at all to do with the EU, they're totally separate entities. The tropes that are rolled out on this front are pretty much uniformly wrong or silly - for example the various deportation cases. Whether we were in the EU or not, there is no moral justification for sending someone abroad to face trial if they will face a trial process that would not be admissible here. I'd only be in favour of withdrawing from the European court if we got a cast-iron guarantee/some sort of specially safeguarded law that enshrined the same level of rights within the UK. Every proposal for withdrawal (eg British bills of rights) has involved watering down the safeguards the European court gives us.

In terms of nationalism, I agree that there are things that it's OK to be proud of about your country. I just don't think it's a good thing if people are proud about their country simply in opposition to others. For example, take World War Two. I am immensely proud of what Britain achieved there, but I'm proud of it because we were vital to the effort that stopped fascism in Europe, not simply because we won and the others lost. It's the latter form of nationalism that UKIP appeals to, the idea that Britain is only a country to be proud of to the extent that we can win, as if this was some kind of primary school egg and spoon race. This is world geopolitics, not sports day, and we have so many other things we can do and be proud of - discovery of DNA, Natural Selection, and Gravity, one of the first countries to abolish slavery, the country that formulated parliamentary democracy - that we shouldn't spend our time being proud of the bits that were only achievements created by beating someone else. I'm proud of British engineering, I'm not proud of the British Empire, and so on.

Your view of empire is just not borne out by the facts. Empires are of course not purely coercive structures, if that's what you're getting at, but the purpose of Empire was never development of conquered lands, it was exploitation of them. For the Persians the Empire brought manpower, levies, and rents, for the Romans it brought slaves. Of course as new upper classes moved to exploit land they then gained some interest in its development, but this was always incidental to profit motives. Many imperial projects involved near-extermination of local populations (the British in America being a prime example) in order to open up land for European-style commercial agriculture. The British were if anything the imperial power worst at trying to integrate local populations. Also there are massive problems with seeing "Europeanising" influences as universally beneficial or only resisted as a result of misunderstandings. Many conquered peoples knew damn well what European missionaries were trying to force on them and wanted none of it - the instruments of European statehood were a means of control. The fact that these were then gained and appropriated by local peoples is obviously good, but that was a result of decolonisation not colonisation. There just isn't a historical basis for claiming that the British Empire was about bringing the torches of enlightenment and liberty to poor uncultured peoples around the world. It's a nice story to tell ourselves but it's not true.

Sharia law has not really superseded UK law anywhere, that's massively over the top scaremongering. Only a few percent (maybe 5% I think?) of the population is Muslim and very few of those follow any strict form of sharia. Radicalisation of young muslims is a problem, and a very real one, but many of these communities actually have century-old roots now so the cultural issue is a real and British one caused by homegrown radicalism not immigration. We can't conflate Islamic extremism with immigration, the numbers just don't add up. Speaking as someone who is from a very traditional part of England, I don't feel my culture is under serious threat from Islam or sharia - the threat of rolling cultural Americanisation is eclipsing British culture far more effectively than Islam. Of course I'm worried about religious extremism, but that is not predominantly an immigration issue.

On the media, I'd argue what they have is a status quo bias. It's not a leftwing bias or a rightwing bias so much as a bias towards a) the established parties and b) making sensationalist news. The pre-election coverage was to some extent biased against UKIP, the election night coverage was to some extent undeniably biased in favour of them, I think it's reasonable to say.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on May 27, 2014, 02:24:35 PM
No, the European Court of Human Rights does not have anything at all to do with the EU, they're totally separate entities.
Well now I feel like a dumdum.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 27, 2014, 02:27:52 PM
Don't worry, it's confusing. The EU does have a smallish judicial wing, the European Court of Justice, which is there to enforce EU treaties and doesn't have any major human rights remit. I'm not sure you could reasonably abolish that though as even if we just had a Europe-wide trade agreement someone needs to settle disputes when they arise.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on May 27, 2014, 03:06:56 PM
I was using sharia as an example of culture overriding the pre-existing one, nothing else. It has happened, is acknowledged in one area of London I believe but is practised in many other parts illegally :/ (off topic though) But yes, you're correct it's a little over 5% of the population is Muslim, it's not a huge amount on paper but its not an even distribution across the whole of the UK.

About empire, I'll assume we've been reading different material, listening to different lectures with their own bias, development/exploitation can overlap, it's not as clear cut as Empire is good/bad as with all there are both. "The road to damnation is oft paved with good intentions." etc.

The problem with your view on the cultural assimilation as you point out is that you're in a pretty secluded and (probably) mostly white, English speaking area. Northampton has a vast number of east European labourers, technicians, skilled and unskilled workers but also we have Polish gangs and drug/gun trafficking. Almost any street will have at least 3 or 4 different nationality shops/cafes or whatever. In the town centre I can go for about half an hour without hearing a word of English, its things like this which, while I (and many others I've spoken with) are ok with the amount we have, don't want any increase on.

Agreed so far as news coverage is I guess but I'd say that the content parts and coverage not news (e.g. soaps, comedy shows, panel shows etc) are still very much leftwing. I'm pretty convinced this is how it'll always be due to the personalities that create this entertainment are more likely going to be 'people persons' and equate this, rightly or wrongly, with the left.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 27, 2014, 03:24:10 PM
I live in two areas - one (Norfolk) very culturally homogeneous, the other being Cambridge which is extremely culturally diverse and has a huge variety of languages spoken. I generally feel more comfortable in the latter area; I agree that there can be tensions as a result of language barriers etc but I think that's an assimilation not an immigration issue really. Also Norfolk isn't that secluded, it's really pretty representative of the UK as a whole, the polish population certainly isn't small though actually it's decreasing over time. Also the birth rates of immigrant groups will and do slow down over time, a lot of it's just that migrant groups tend to be worse off and worse off people of all cultures tend to have more children.

Do you have a source for sharia being "acknowledged" somewhere in London? Because I'm 99.99% sure that's not happened.

In terms of Empire it's not simply a case of varying bias, the British influence in America is a specialist topic for me so I've read a very broad range of the academic literature. Of course Empires aren't universally pure evil, but primarily the dynamic in every Empire I know of has been material and labour exploitation. Secondary dynamics can include "improvement", but often this is done in a way that invalidates and suppresses any good parts of the local culture. Best example of that, the havoc wreaked by the Romans on the Celts, Punic, and Greek cultures. Celtic metalwork was considerably better than the Roman stuff, but that skill was actually lost via cultural disruption. The other thing is that a lot of "improvement" ideas also increase the reliance of subject populations on their Imperial overlords - back to America, the destruction of native polities and peoples was exacerbated by their reliance on European imports which ended up with them losing their ability to function outside the European trade system. So yes, of course it's not totally the case that Empire was just a simple case of white Europeans being evil, but I don't think you've made anything like a complete case to suggest that the dominant dynamic wasn't gain and oppression at the expense of what were seen as inferior races. Even the relatively pro-native Jesuits in French Canada always referred to the locals as savages, and I don't see how you can paint the near-destruction of native peoples as anything other than mostly a gain-driven system.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on May 27, 2014, 04:18:04 PM
As far as sharia courts go I stumbled across this while looking for stuff http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muslim_Arbitration_Tribunal and also this http://www.shariahcouncil.org/

Of course some parts of the press report it like this http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2587215/Sharia-Law-enshrined-British-legal-lawyers-guidelines-drawing-documents-according-Islamic-rules.html
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on May 27, 2014, 05:04:40 PM
Thanks TTG4 :)

I spend quite a bit of time in cambridge and ely due to half my family being there, it's nothing like what we have here in northants, not even close :P

Uplifting a people is good. Exterminating them to do so is bad. This is what I have been saying. In India, there were British who wanted to uplift the people and weren't driven solely by profit. I believe we're arguing two separate things. (still off topic though)
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on May 27, 2014, 05:36:55 PM
Yeah, that's what I thought. These tribunals exist, but they're no more legally binding than the opinions of a marriage counsellor or anyone else you get to try and arbitrate a dispute: legally they have no actual power. Whether it's a good thing that they exist is a different matter, of course, but the fact remains that this does not constitute a recognition of sharia in the law, only that people can attempt to operate according to sharia (or any other arbitrary ruleset) within British law.

As I said before, of course some colonists will have good intentions and a smaller number of those will act on them. But overall we should be proud of those specific people as individuals not the idea of Empire in general which was primarily driven by a search for personal independence or financial gain, and was the vast majority of the time achieving that at the expense of the local people, though as you say there were some exceptional cases.

Anyway, back to the topic and the UK elections - to conclude all the asides, I still feel that a) UKIP are currently very much a party whose policies do not reflect working class interests. They may of course become that party over time as their electorate puts pressure on them, but the UKIP manifesto offers working people very little economically. Also b) as we've discussed, pride in national achievements is not necessarily negative, but pride in your country in the sense that you're rooting for a team and trying only to beat the other teams is a problematic sentiment and it's that competitive, isolationist rhetoric that I think fuels UKIP to some measure and far more obviously boosts further right parties on the continent.

I do also think that what we get out of Europe is poorly explained to people, not least because a lot of it is in legal safeguards rather than active benefits. I for one feel safer inside a European system locked together by treaties and trade because I feel like it improves relations between governments, decreases the chance of wars breaking out, and puts pressure on my government not to buckle under pressure to water down human rights laws. I think there are big problems with it too, but for me the benefits definitely outweigh the negatives.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on August 21, 2014, 07:11:38 PM
So we've got a by-election for the pretty much ignored PCCs in the west midlands today. Both labour and the tories say they'll do things which are either pushing their remit or not a part of it. The Lib Dem candidate didn't say what he'd do just told a story about how he saved someones life (which was different to the same story he used last time) and refused to appear on the BBC claiming it was biased towards Israel over Gaza. The UKIP candidate is essentially Jeremy Clarkson and pushes the idea that the police prosecute motorists because they're bored and can't be arsed going after real criminials.

I don't really care who wins, so long as it isn't the UKIP guy, the turnout will be the most interesting thing. Purely on partly lines I'd usually vote Lib Dem 1st and Labour 2nd, but I don't like the Lib Dem candidate or the way he's run his campaign this time so voted Labour 1st and Tory 2nd.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on August 22, 2014, 01:11:19 PM
Labour got it, on a turn out of 10%. A labour council leader in Birmingham has come out and called these elections an 'affront to democracy'. I have to say, they really don't seem worth the cost of staging them.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on August 26, 2014, 07:51:33 PM
Ten percent? Christ, that is awful. We usually beat that by a significant margin for Exilian elections.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on August 28, 2014, 02:08:15 PM
WE HAVE A BY-ELECTION COMING UP

And psephologist-Jubal is all excited :P
Though leftwing campaigning Jubal is kinda terrified.

Quote
(http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/77216000/jpg/_77216801_tv023657760.jpg)

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-28967904

Tory Douglas Carswell has defected to UKIP and quit as MP for Clacton, saying he will contest the subsequent by-election for Nigel Farage's party.

If he wins the support of voters he will be the first elected UK Independence Party MP in the Commons.
The maverick Eurosceptic backbencher said he wanted to "shake up" the cosy Westminster "clique".
Mr Carswell added he did not believe Prime Minister David Cameron was "serious about the change we need".
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Glaurung on August 28, 2014, 06:40:21 PM
I expect I disagree with Douglas Carswell's political opinions, but I do at least approve of his decision to resign and go into a by-election with his new affiliation.

for those interested, the BBC News website has the Clacton constituency results (http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/results/constituency/b14.stm) from the 2010 election. At that point, Carswell had 53% of the vote, and a majority of 12,000. How much of that vote was for him personally as opposed to the Conservative party, and how much of the Conservative party vote will switch to UKIP now it has the choice, will be very interesting to see.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on August 28, 2014, 09:21:03 PM
UKIP didn't stand in Claction in 2010, which probably boosted Carswell above the 50% mark - and the local Conservative association has been very heavily worked on by him since the seat was captured from Labour (then in its old form as Harwich).
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on August 28, 2014, 11:38:46 PM
Gooood. Another to join us.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on September 21, 2014, 10:48:50 PM
Scotland is still in the UK - next stop on the election train, Clacton!
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on September 27, 2014, 06:37:33 PM
Another Con is gone! Mark Reckless this time, who will be fighting a by-election in Rochester and Strood.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on September 30, 2014, 05:46:58 PM
Strikes me as an odd time to jump when the tories seem to be drifting towards euroskepticism as a policy, unless they're just trying to save their position as an MP and don't really care if it's for UKIP rather than the tories. When are these by-elections anyway? It must be soon right?
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on September 30, 2014, 05:53:53 PM
Clacton is getting fairly close, Rochester will be late November or December I think?

There are several facts to explain the jump:
- The Tories are getting more Eurosceptic, but for those who want immediate exit Cameron is not offering that
- Cameron has on a personal level marginalised many of these people
- Political reform, direct democracy etc - both Reckless and Carswell are both vehemently in favour of that sort of thing and feel Cameron has reneged on it

UKIP isn't really about Europe in terms of this jump in popularity, it's a revolt of the white and non-elite conservative (small c) voting blocs as the Conservatives are seen as being too "metropolitan", an image that despite their policy swings they will not be able to shake off under Cameron's leadership.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on September 30, 2014, 10:06:42 PM
I know its not exactly what you're talking about but I think it might be relevant. Btw, none of this is my opinion; all things I've heard when talking to people who have either switched to voting UKIP or are thinking of doing so. May or may not be of interest to you. I'm sure you're tired of my rhetoric Jub so I'll save you from it this once :)

From what I've spoken to people about;

Cameron is too half measures and Farrage is more decisive.

Farrage is a better speaker and politician.

Always wanted to but thought it was a wasted vote.

Heard things Farrage has said on radio/tv and was impressed.

Nationalism lacking in other parties, British pride etc.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on September 30, 2014, 10:39:27 PM
Speaking of Cameron, how long do people reckon he can last? It feels to me like someone's going to oust him if they make it to the next parliament, the speeches at conference of May and Johnson make that seem more likely to me.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on September 30, 2014, 11:44:34 PM
Colossus: don't worry about the rhetoric, I'm more than happy to hear yours as long as you can put up with mine :P

I think all of those are very real reasons though, and I will personally admit that I think Farage is a more charismatic leader with a better public presence than Cameron (I dislike him intensely as I make no secret of, but he is not without his talents by any means).

As to Cameron - assuming he loses the next election he will go after that, essentially. May is the more likely replacement than Johnson in my opinion, though I'm not sure either would really solve the party's problems.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on October 01, 2014, 01:05:42 AM
Thanks Jub, always up for hearing from the other side.

Johnson for Emperor of London. I have posters and t-shirts.

I'm conflicted on Cameron. I don't think he's actually capable of anything more than mediocrity but I also think we could do worse (both within tories and among other parties in general). Johnson at least has the ambition and brains to lead...Plus he's crafty as hell, I respect his deviousness :D
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on October 01, 2014, 01:10:57 AM
From my political standpoint Cameron's been a somewhat moderating influence on their image, sometimes it can feel like they're the only ones taking a decision rather than falling on soundbytes and rhetoric, but then someone like Rees-Mogg comes along and says something I find detestful and just no.

I'd be surprised if Osborne doesn't run too, but I doubt he'd have much of a chance. But I agree with Jub, the conservatives are facing a division problem
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on October 01, 2014, 09:34:35 AM
If by moderating you mean he's more of a liberal/commie, then yes. But he always was, and I think this also means that a fair amount of the remaining Conservatives are as well. The middle-slightly right Conservatives would probably have gone to UKIP, but then again some may be staying to try and put them back on track. No se amigos.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: DeepComet5581 on October 08, 2014, 06:33:12 PM
Don't get me started on politics.

I have been, and will continue to be, a UKIP voter. As much as I don't like that some of the Party members have a 'Tar all with the same brush' mentality and their attitude towards homosexuality, a lot of their ideas are simply grounded in common sense. They are one of the few parties that are actually willing to stop HS2 (Which will be a complete and total White Elephant) and get rid of expensive and inefficient wind turbines from the countryside (Seriously, solar panels are much better and cheaper!).

I get that many people think that UKIP essentially want to close the borders and not let anyone in, but I can assure you that this is just scaremongering. At no point has it been the official line that ALL immigration be stopped - Simply the completely free and open immigration afforded to the other members of the EU. I mean, is it really that much to ask that the people that want to live and work here speak English to the same level that everyone else does? That they work towards the same qualifications any school-leaver born here is expected to have? That they integrate into the society they have chosen to live in?

I'll go into more detail, but a bit later, otherwise I'll start frothing at the mouth.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on October 08, 2014, 07:57:10 PM
A second UKIP voter? Well this is a thing unheard of! An Elf will go undergr....wait nevermind. But yay regardless I might not be on my lonesome next political discussion! :D

Despite sarcasm I am actually pleased. And despite sarcasm I do actually read up on politics. But I am also unequivocally a dumbass which may be used against me sparingly ;)
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on October 08, 2014, 08:19:26 PM
If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it. ;)
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on October 08, 2014, 10:19:30 PM
I disagree on solar power vs wind power, especially in the UK and would be interested to see any data on just how solar panels are more efficient than wind turbines.

Though on the 'renewable' energy argument the major point that goes unsaid is that we fundamentally lack any suitable energy storage mechanisms, only when we can store energy efficiently will we be able to move from fossil fuels/nuclear to 'renewable' sources.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on October 08, 2014, 11:31:33 PM
If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it. ;)
This sentiment really really REALLY annoys me, but this isn't the place for me to have that rant :P

TTG4: of course the best option is renewable or semi-renewable nuclear sources like fusion and thorium, but nobody can be bothered to fund those.

ANYWAY

Party conferences are over - and tomorrow we have the Clacton by-election and the Heywood and Middleton by-election. Let's see how this turns out! (And DC and Colossus, prepare to break out the beverage of choice; you'll probably have your first MP by Friday).
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on October 09, 2014, 12:04:47 AM
If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it. ;)
Blame Mark Twain. :P
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on October 09, 2014, 09:15:49 AM
I've never looked into it too much but from what I've heard wind turbines are more efficient when talking about large scale installations in appropriate locations but for use in the much smaller scale or in urban/semi urban environments then solar panels are the way forward.
Course you can have solar panels placed within roads, pavements etc but thats super expensive at the moment.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on October 09, 2014, 06:23:57 PM
Though really we should have jumped on nuclear power a long ass time ago (in a galaxy far away). But hey, at least we're getting one more.

@Jub: Rant, rant, rant, rant :D
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: DeepComet5581 on October 09, 2014, 07:44:15 PM
If voting made any difference they wouldn't let us do it. ;)
This sentiment really really REALLY annoys me, but this isn't the place for me to have that rant :P

TTG4: of course the best option is renewable or semi-renewable nuclear sources like fusion and thorium, but nobody can be bothered to fund those.

ANYWAY

Party conferences are over - and tomorrow we have the Clacton by-election and the Heywood and Middleton by-election. Let's see how this turns out! (And DC and Colossus, prepare to break out the beverage of choice; you'll probably have your first MP by Friday).

The trouble with Thorium is that governments can't make weapons out of it...

To think, this time last year, all 3 of the big parties (Though with the Lib Dems that's a matter of debate) were writing off UKIP as a protest vote. Now, many by-elections end up with UKIP in second. That, coupled with our gains in the local elections and victory in the European elections, paves a slightly golden path for us.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Tom on October 10, 2014, 12:09:14 PM
Ukip won a seat.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Glaurung on October 10, 2014, 12:56:53 PM
Ukip won a seat.
Yes - and, rather more unexpected, very nearly won a second one.

We live in interesting times. I think we in the UK are about to discover that a first-past-the-post electoral system produces highly unpredictable results when there are more than two or three parties with a significant share of the vote. At the moment, I am guessing that the general election next year will produce (a) a hung parliament, and hence a coalition government, though I have no idea what sort of coalition, and (b) an even greater than normal divergence between the share of the total vote by party, and the numbers of MPs. Perhaps the Conservative and Labour parties will come to rue the day they argued against proportional representation?
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on October 10, 2014, 01:54:39 PM
DC: that is indeed precisely why our nuclear power stations are so awful. We're using a reactor system that's a) designed for a submarine not for power production and b) is designed to produce insanely dangerous weaponisable waste. Which is pretty stupid.

As to the results, yes, UKIP doing so well in Heywood was a real surprise. Labour's vote share held to 2010 levels, but given 2010 was such a catastrophe for them (not so much in terms of seats but their national vote share was awful) that's not terribly comforting.

Clacton was more expected but Carswell reaching 60% is psychologically pretty important I'd say. The Tories have a long way to go if they want to try and unseat him next year. They're now going to throw all the money they can muster into Rochester and Strood in a desperate attempt to halt the UKIP momentum - polling there shows they've got a 9% lead to close in the next few weeks, but polls seem to be underestimating rather than overestimating UKIP's support so it may be very, very difficult for them to hold. They're running a horrible campaign against Mark Reckless too, just trying to vilify him as much as possible.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: DeepComet5581 on October 10, 2014, 06:49:38 PM
That is precisely why UKIP are making gains - All the big three parties were resting on their laurels, and now that a threat has emerged, they are running around like headless chickens. UKIP has exposed the fact that, despite the big three championing a "Reconnect with the people of Britain" line, they clearly don't actually know or really care, at least until it actually affects them.

What compounds the issue further for them, is that they've spouted the same lines they did after the Euro elections, and they clearly haven't heeded that particular "Wake-up call".
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on October 11, 2014, 12:29:09 AM
Yeah - the Conservatives I think are doing the worst at responding, their "vote UKIP get Labour" line just yields a "so portugaling what?" from much of UKIP's support base. They can't seem to make any good arguments as to why their policies outweigh UKIP, they're just arguing "stick with us because we're bigger". Labour are also pretty lacklustre and still trying to rely on UKIP=Tories, which is the flip side of the same issue. Meanwhile the Lib Dems have come out swinging against UKIP... but are trying to attack them on what is in popularity terms by far the Liberals' least popular policy portfolio, aka Europe. So that's pretty much a non-starter, braver than Lab or Con but not exactly clever politics.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Othko97 on October 11, 2014, 08:43:10 AM
Cameron's vote UKIP get Labour line is actually pointing out the problems with FPTP voting, bet he wishes he'd made more out of the AV referendum now. Also I was not at all surprised by the increase in UKIP support in Heywood, there are a lot of vote UKIP banners and boards in windows at election time, and a lot of people have become disenfranchised with the main parties. People in this area are often vehemently against immigration, and with that and the NHS being about the only things campaigns focus on. I was expecting UKIP to do pretty well.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on October 11, 2014, 12:18:03 PM
I find it quite amusing that they didn't back AV because they thought it would help UKIP and it's now come back to bite them. I wasn't surprised Carswell got in, he was popular locally and there isn't much you can do in a short period of time to beat that. The other by-election just makes it clear how strong UKIP has grown.


Though Carswell's acceptance speech was interesting, he seems to want to pull them back from swinging too far right and having the centre/left easily attack them as bigots, Farrage's comments the other day about keeping HIV positive people from entering the country is a prime example of what they need to move away from.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on October 15, 2014, 10:57:22 PM
So I saw a very left-wing friend of mine posting about this lately.
http://www.varsity.co.uk/news/7567

So, Farage was coming to talk to politics & international studies, which seems reasonable, he's presided over the meteoric rise of UKIP and isn't it important that the students shouldn't learn about this? I hugely disagree with Farage's politics and his views, but I respect his right to have them and discuss them and the womens campaign intimidating him out of appearing is quite wrong in my view.

I don't actually see how this falls within their remit either, though knowing several people involved in the campaign I'm not surprised they have such a strong courage in their convictions that they feel they can overall his freedom of speech because they disagree.

Anyone else have a viewpoint on things like this?
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on October 15, 2014, 11:18:59 PM
I tend to agree, I think people have a right to calmly protest against Farage but I feel like just trying to shout him down only makes him stronger most of the time.  :(
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Pentagathus on October 16, 2014, 10:18:27 AM
Yeah thats pretty wibulnib, he's got the right to explain his policies. If you want to counter him then go to his speech and actually counter his arguments instead of acting like an angry child.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on October 16, 2014, 12:07:51 PM
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on October 31, 2014, 01:29:06 PM
So South Yorkshire have had a PCC by-election. The count is still going on because there's no clear leader, but a report I heard on the radio suggested a turnout of slightly under 15%, so they haven't beat the west mids on that score!

However, there was apparently one ballot box in Doncaster with 3 ballot papers in it, which has to be some sort of record.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-29837315
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Glaurung on November 18, 2014, 07:18:53 PM
Here we go again: it's the Rochester & Strood by-election tomorrow. Apparently the opinion polls show Mark Reckless (UKIP, ex-Conservative) in the lead. UKIP could have 2 MPs by Friday morning.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on November 19, 2014, 01:04:58 AM
The question is really the size of the lead. Below 10% and the Tories will feel they've done damage reduction OK, 10-15% is about expected. If UKIP overperform and get up towards a 20% lead, then it will be a big wave in the Tory party, the seat will probably be safe for UKIP at the election, and I think that's where we might see more defections etc as well.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Glaurung on November 24, 2014, 06:54:51 PM
Here we go again: it's the Rochester & Strood by-election tomorrow.
Slight oops: the election was in fact on 20 November (a Thursday, as standard for UK elections).

Apparently the opinion polls show Mark Reckless (UKIP, ex-Conservative) in the lead. UKIP could have 2 MPs by Friday morning.
And indeed they did: Reckless won with a majority of almost 3,000 (7.3% of the vote). Turnout was just over 50% of the electorate, which I think is relatively high for a UK parliamentary by-election.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on November 24, 2014, 06:58:59 PM
People voted for a guy named Reckless? :picard_facepalm:
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Othko97 on November 24, 2014, 07:04:21 PM
The conservatives actually ran a smear campaign on him playing on his name - "Don't be reckless with your vote". :P
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on November 24, 2014, 07:10:13 PM
I could see the comeback - "It would be reckless not to."
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Glaurung on November 24, 2014, 08:06:31 PM
People voted for a guy named Reckless? :picard_facepalm:
Yes - twice now. Once in the 2010 general election, once last week. I'd imagine a lot will vote for him in the general election next year.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on November 24, 2014, 11:52:26 PM
People voted for a guy named Reckless? :picard_facepalm:

As opposed to this guy?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butch_Otter
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on November 25, 2014, 01:33:40 AM
I don't get it?
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Jubal on November 25, 2014, 02:26:56 AM
Yeah; UKIP won the battle, though the Tories managed their propaganda far better than in Clacton (aided by Labour's mess-ups). Had UKIP gotten a better result than the polls it would have been another big knock, but they actually did slightly less well than was perhaps expected, so that may stem further defection possibilities.
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: TTG4 on November 25, 2014, 03:14:47 AM
I don't get it?

Just amusing politician names! Much like one of the new government whips: Lady Garden
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Clockwork on November 25, 2014, 04:54:37 AM
Go team, go team, go team, go! All your constituencies are belong to us!
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: Lucian on January 04, 2015, 04:23:42 PM
I'm not American, but if I was American, I would have voted for Mitt Romney. I disagree with Obama's policies...
Title: Re: UK Elections 2014
Post by: comrade_general on January 04, 2015, 05:57:02 PM
What about the other parties, such as Libertarian? :)