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Messages - dubsartur

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31
Here is an overview of the big three publicly-available indices and everyone else (obviously the NSA, Chinese government, etc. have secret indices of the web) https://seirdy.one/posts/2021/03/10/search-engines-with-own-indexes/

32
https://www.ft.com/content/29fd9b5c-2f35-41bf-9d4c-994db4e12998

"A new global gender divide is emerging" - the political/ideological gap between young men and young women has been widening for the last 30 years, and widened rapidly in the last 10 years.

Why this has happened, and what the implications are, are pretty profound questions for democracy.
Didn't read cos paywall innit bruv, but is this reporting the results of a solid study? I'm always very sceptical about how accurate these kinda things are, although I certainly wouldn't be surprised if a widening gap is real. Though I suspect it would be the case that both young men and women have shifted to the left as a whole, but with women tending to shift further left than men rather than young men moving right.
But as usual I know nothing.
I also can't see the article and I find that its best to ignore claims about broad cultural trends or differences.  If they are true on average, you can't do anything about them, and they get in the way of understanding the individual unique man or woman or Ruritanian or Syldavian you are dealing with right now.

Like a lot of journalism, they are written for readers who want to pretend they are grand high poobah, when really readers have to persuade their strata council to trim those blackberries by the dog path before they tear their good running pants again.  And the people they actually deal with in their community are not statistically representative of some national or global demographic.

33
Discussion and Debate - The Philosopher's Plaza / Re: Cultures are Weird
« on: February 08, 2024, 02:28:29 AM »
Remember the Canadian Lieutenant-General Trevor Cadieu who was accused in 2021 of committing sexual assault in 1994/5? Wikipedia claims that he actually went to Ukraine and that an Azov spokesman said that he was besieged in Azovstal but not captured.  Charges were stayed in October 2023 on procedural grounds.  This is another story which deserves a fuller telling!  I think you could separate the story of Cadieu in Ukraine from the story of the awful events in 1994/5 and the subsequent push to keep them quiet (because someone assaulted a fellow cadet even if the courts won't rule on who).

34
Game & program tutorials / Re: Using Steampipe
« on: February 06, 2024, 06:18:29 PM »
I think the switch to video content encapsulates the changes in the web after smartphones and the 2008 financial crisis:

- most people are not fast and comfortable readers (most people in the USA say they read less than 3 books a year)
- most people search with Google and Google owns youtube and has an incentive to make videos rank highly (and YouTube engineers go jogging with Google search engineers)
- since Google gave up on downranking SEO content farms, videos with the person's face (like Reddit posts) used to be a pretty reliable way of finding something written by a person who cared (generative AI may change this)
- investors and megacorps throwing money at things which seem like they might make a lot of money one day because money is free today and tax minimization is in fashion

35
Game & program tutorials / Re: Using Steampipe
« on: February 06, 2024, 05:31:34 PM »
Explaining what Steampipe is and why someone might want to use it could be a good idea!

36
Discussion and Debate - The Philosopher's Plaza / Re: Cultures are Weird
« on: January 31, 2024, 02:33:40 AM »
Patrick McKenzie talks about the vicious hate that people from different classes, educational backgrounds, and across the urban/rural divide in the USA often feel for one another.  Just keep in mind that he spent from the late oughties until 2020 living in Japan and he returned as a rich man with very rich friends.  So the confidence and feeling of insight are not necessarily backed by recent experience more profound than 'living in San Francisco'. 

Quote
One very real reason this type of business exists in the world is to be a firewall between social classes and the businesses that serve them. Check cashing establishments insulate banks, which are indispensable for cashing checks, from needing to talk to certain people.

A check cashing business is “alternative finance." It is alternative to the banking world of smartly dressed middle class employees, free coffee, and firm handshakes.

A check cashing clerk and a bank teller look to many to be similar jobs done by similar people and crucially they are not. Bank tellers do not make much money but know they must present as middle class. They work in a built environment where surveillance is absolutely ubiquitous and where deviant behavior (like using certain prescribed words) will have one referred to an alternative court system for swift and certain punishment.

That is to say: bank tellers work for an American corporation with an HR department. And bank tellers, in their hearts and in their actions, internalize the class that they must, must, must present as. There are classes of people that the bank does not want to do business with. (Banks are, as we have frequently covered, not allowed to say this in as many words.) The tellers do not want to speak to them, either, and this disdain radiates from them as palpable waves.

The clerk at a check cashing business is not a bank teller. She does not disdain talking to poor people; being able to do that in such a way that most poor people end up liking her is her job. Don’t take my word for it; take the customers’. We have studied this industry extensively. We ran surveys. The customers keep saying things like “I like my local check cashing place because the girl behind the counter is kind and doesn’t judge me like those #%*(#%( at the bank.” You can present as being kind to almost all of your customers and be obviously unemployable as a bank teller.

You will deal with thousands of customers. If you use “kind girl behind the counter” language about the 0.01% most aggravating customer once, you will not be a bank teller tomorrow. So bank tellers basically never use those words, and instead can inflect “Can I help you, sir?” in a way which leaves absolutely no doubt as to how welcome the new arrival to the branch is.


I don't know what to do about this other than try to treat people as people and not let myself get recruited by one side in these conflicts.  I can't heal 300 million people from a lifetime of real and perceived disrespect.  And his theory that bank tellers in the USA learn to perform specific prejudices in specific ways because it seems expected of the kind of person they are pretending to be is very human.

37
I suspect there's also a big personalised content issue here: this is the TikTok generation, and algorithmic content really sharply focuses things into people's media bubbles. I don't know how one gets round that, really.
Focussing on people who are not deeply in to corporate social media with content-promotion algorithms, like most of the young people I knew in Tirol, is a great start!

Some people take longer than others to learn that the Internet or social media are not real life, and some have to make big mistakes before they learn that the strategies which get attention online are self-destructive for achieving things offline.

38
Al Jazeera has a story on attempts to locate and identify people murdered by the secret police under Stalin https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2024/1/28/georgias-mass-graves-the-forensic-experts-uncovering-victims-of-stalins-purge

39
When I played Age of Empires II as a teen I tended to play it like civilization, bunkering up.  Or in prebuilt scenarios I built large, efficient armies and stomped methodically through the scattered mobs which the AI threw at me (eg. lots of English Longbowmen or Cho-Ku-No and a few Trebuchets, sometimes a few Peasants to build pallisades and towers or Castles).  That was also my approach to campaigns in Starcraft, Warcraft I, and Warcraft II.

40
Discussion and Debate - The Philosopher's Plaza / Re: Trade and the left
« on: January 26, 2024, 11:30:52 PM »
Its probably relevant that since the Roman republic, pirates have been classed as hostes humani generis "enemies of mankind." (The Roman definition of pirates often looked like 'anyone else's navy' but that is another story).  Because global trade is so multinational, anyone who fires indiscriminately on passing merchant ships, say a Marshall-islands flagged tanker of Russian naptha chartered by an international group headquartered in Singapore, is likely to get smacked by pretty much everyone with a blue-water navy.  But people have been bombing the Houthis with large amounts of NATO-style weapons since 2015, so what to do about them is a hard question.  Its not 1801, you can't just bombard some towns, burn some ships, and make them stop.

41
Discussion and Debate - The Philosopher's Plaza / Re: Trade and the left
« on: January 25, 2024, 01:55:18 AM »
Are these ideas from real people, or just the kind who have too much time to post on social media or write a column?

As someone who lives in the premodern world, I had trouble listening to Perun's talk about the Houthi attacks on random ships without thinking "stop catastrophizing you pampered slobs, failure to plan on your part does not constitute an emergency on my part.  And if you register your ship in a country without a blue-water navy and an air force because its cheaper, there may be consequences to that choice."  Big businesses love privatizing proffits and socializing expenses.

I think another topic worth reading up on would be the 2015-2022 blockade of Yemen.  I think its easy to see the benefits of the freedom of the seas when you have access to it.  Apparently the US helped negotiate a ceasefire in April 2022.  The Yemeni civil war is a nasty as you would expect and most reporting I have seen until the latest outbreak has been superficial repetitions of Saudi propaganda ("internationally recognized government ... Houthis and other Iranian proxies")

A lot of people want "good guys" to cheer for and assume that if one side is bad and lies the other side must be good and truthful.  That is not how war works, but most major newspapers have not had anyone on staff who understood war since I was born.

Edit: Gwynne Dyer has a list of the sheer number of factions who are launching missiles or drones at targets somewhere between Gaza and Baluchistan in 2024

42
Quote
Cubicle 7 has announced a new Warhammer tabletop RPG, based on Warhammer: The Old World. You may know the company already for its many other games set in Games Workshop's worlds, including Wrath & Glory, Imperium Maledictum, and Soulbound.

The Old World is Games Workshop's ongoing revival of the Warhammer Fantasy setting as a wargame, after its destruction in 2015 to make way for Age of Sigmar. The weird part is, Cubicle 7 already sells a TTRPG based in the Warhammer Fantasy setting, and has for years—it's called Warhammer Fantasy Roleplay, and is itself a continuation of a system that first came out in the '80s. This isn't a new edition for that, and doesn't seem to be replacing it—it's a new, separate game. The obvious question is: why?

The announcement is light on detail, but there are a couple of potential reasons why it might make sense to have two RPGs in the same setting. The first is that The Old World wargame takes place about 300 years earlier than the Warhammer Fantasy setting most fans are used to—so a lot earlier than the stuff you'd have seen in, for example, the Total War: Warhammer games, or indeed the default setting books for Warhammer Fantasy Roleplay.
https://www.pcgamer.com/warhammer-fantasy-is-backand-now-its-getting-a-new-tabletop-rpg-too/



This feels interesting but also odd, as a move, apparently GW is doing a lot of Old World fantasy rebooting because it turns out that people actually liked settings that loosely based themselves off things that made sense and had fun reality-inspired bric-a-brac all over the place.
Gadzooks, you are right that until The Witcher, the Warhammer Fantasy setting was the only major pop culture setting that still had a house style of visuals inspired by something before the 19th century! 

Edit: I guess Game of Thrones came close, but they messed up the later seasons and fandom seems to have shrunk in response; it was also less of a source of third-party inspiration and creativity than the Old World or D&D.

D&D committed to its anime-and-western-comic influenced art back in the days of 3.5 and Pathfinder, and these days Fantasyland has many material tropes out of westerns such as beds with steel springs and cells with walls of iron bars.

43
Discussion and Debate - The Philosopher's Plaza / Re: Belief in NHI
« on: January 21, 2024, 11:59:49 PM »
Travis S. Taylor is described as a physicist and science-fiction author.  Wiki says he is specifically an optical and areospace engineer.  Cranks and creationists very often have engineering degrees if they have any qualifications in natural science (medical degrees are also not unknown).

I'm sure all these characters would be fun to meet but I can't help someone do story magic on unconsenting third parties or stabilize their childhood faith.  I am a scientist.

44
Discussion and Debate - The Philosopher's Plaza / Re: Belief in NHI
« on: January 21, 2024, 09:50:21 PM »
At 1 hour in Nick Pope alludes to one of the supernatural theories I have heard of (that anomalies are the workings of a Trickester god, like creationists used to say fossils were created by Satan to confound the faithful).  There is a book somewhere which expounds it in more detail.

And when you get into ritual magic, you get into people who try make false things true by saying the right words in a convincing way.  Even aside from motivated reasoning, flawed senses, and people who want to make a buck or get some attention with a fun story.

Regarding 1:20, a number of Joseph Banks Rhine's 'best psychic subjects' were said to be students who got paid more when they guessed the right card (or at least got hired to come back) and had familiarity with stage magic and card tricks.

The interview with Brandon Fugal is excellent at showing how many people pushing weird stuff are pushing things they saw on TV and film or read in books and comics.  It all makes me sad because I took a different path.

The amount of weird **** that is parables, allegories, or in-jokes from Masonry or Mornomism which got out of hand is another deep rabbit hole.  You can very rarely prove it but its often suggestive.

45
Japan landed its first spacecraft on the moon but it may have flipped over or fallen on its side https://www.theguardian.com/science/live/2024/jan/19/japan-moon-landing-mission-space-latest-live-news-updates

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