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Messages - dubsartur

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451
Tabletop Games - The Game Room / Re: Economics of Publishing
« on: February 14, 2022, 02:38:52 AM »
I'd be curious about the COVID impact on recent numbers though - I imagine sellers of physical games that require physical groups of players will have suffered badly compared to online/remote stuff.
My statement about the low earnings of SJG's RPGs and higher earnings of Munchkin is based on their reports, and statements by staffing, for the past 15 years.  For the past five years or so, their flagship RPG has one full-time employee who can barely afford a shared apartment in Montreal.

Playing RPGs over video or audio chat was popular 15 years ago, and it exploded since.  Critical Role is one of the many podcasts and vlogs of people playing tabletop RPGs together.

Edit: I know several other small RPG companies which are one or two people plus contract workers such as Gaming Ballistic and the Taylor Corporation.  I think game designers today are often 'migrant workers,' working on a roleplaying game full-time for six months or a year then moving on to something else then coming back after a few years to write some adventure modules or a splatbook.

452
Three responses to the truck protest in Ottawa: interim CPC leader Candice Bergen asks the protestors to leave, flailing Alberta premier and former anti-gay-rights campaigner Jason Kenny 'accidentally' compared the unvaccinated to stigmatized AIDS patients in the 1980s, and the police chief of Ottawa seems to have given up on controlling the protest.  (He wants the government to call in the Canadian Armed Forces).

At the end of January, the death rate from COVID in my province was about 1 per 100,000 per week.  In the USA it was more like 4 per 100,000!

So far, the only declared candidate for CPC chief is Pierre Poilievre.  He grew up in Saskatchewan and went to the University of Calgary, so he may lean "Reform" over "Progressive Conservative."

The inquiry into the mass shooting at Portapique will start in late February.

453
Tabletop Games - The Game Room / Economics of Publishing
« on: February 07, 2022, 11:43:39 PM »
One of the things which fascinates me about RPGs is that they show how publishing works terribly as a capitalist enterprise.  Steve Jackson Games' annual report to the stakeholders reminded me of the issue.

Roughly ballparking things they have said over the years, SJG earns ~$300k/yr selling RPGs and ~$1m/yr selling card game Munchkin which make fun of RPGs and pop culture franchises.  Twitch says it pays the Critical Role vlog $5m/yr for their videos of celebrities playing RPGs (about as much as SJG earns from all its tabletop games and publications combined).  So there is no money in actually making the RPGs, but a lot in pop culture about RPG culture.

Nonfiction books have the same issue: writing a really good factual book does not predictable pay better than a rushed-together one.  The problem is that to evaluate the worth of information, you need that information (whereas I can evaluate a widget without owning it, and someone can use information about the widget to decide whether to buy it).

Further Reading: The Economics of Publishing (2018)

Ben Riggs, Slaying the Dragon: A Secret History of Dungeons and Dragons (2022) https://www.amazon.com/Slaying-Dragon-History-Dungeons-Dragons/dp/125027804X

Jon Peterson, Game Wizards: The Epic Battle for Dungeons & Dragons by (MIT Press, 2021)

454
We are definitely watching when Boris will get tossed out.  Anyone who replaces him will be an ugly person too, but at least he will be out of Number 10.

One issue for the Conservative leadership contest in Canada is that the last one was in 2020, then there was the election in 2021.  Because Canada restricts political donations, and its hard to hold the traditional face-to-face events in a Canadian winter during the COVID pandemic, some potential candidates may have trouble raising funds.

One confusing issue is that the truck protests coincide with many Canadian provinces rushing to end public health measures.  I doubt that the anti-maskers will get what they want, but the anti-vaxxers may well see an end of the requirement of proof of vaccination to attend many kinds of events.  These changes seem to be a mix of evidence-based (its not clear that being vaccinated makes you less likely to transmit Omicron), ideological (SAVE THE ECONOMY - ENDEMIC ENDEMIC ENDEMIC), and political (everyone has their own folk model of COVID, and their own preferences about which activities are worth the risk).

455
O'Toole was, if I recall, tacking a bit more centrist. Does this defeat mean that the Can-Cons are likely to veer right in how they present themselves?

That is an interesting difference, though - the UK Tories are generally the best of the parties at maintaining discipline in the ranks (with the possible exception at Westminster of the SNP, who are very disciplined too AFAICT). If UK Conservatives start breaking ranks in large numbers, it's a sign that the party is probably about to go into a major internal crisis.
O'Toole did a classic "appeal to the base to get nominated, then tack to the centre to try to win an election."  Parts of the Conservative base seemed quite upset that he did not push their pet causes.

The social conservative part of the Conservative base seems angry, as does the part influenced by US right-wing politics.  The problem is that "abortion, LGBT ideology, oppressive lockdowns, and liberty-destroying passports for abortion-tainted vaccines" (as a spokesman for the Campaign Life Coalition describes them) are pretty popular in Canada.  Likewise, their opposition to putting a price on GHG emissions puts the Conservative core membership outside the Canadian mainstream.  I don't know anything about their interim leader Candice Bergen. 

Canada has an affordable-housing crisis which is easy to blame on scary foreigners (the problem is that older Canadians who tend to own homes vote and write letters, so any policy to drive down housing prices faces heavy opposition).  Just like in other countries there is some unsettlement about the new ideas about gender and race which are being pushed by the Toronto media.  Old Media and the liberals have been using division about pandemic policy.  Its easy to present vaccines as a simple fix, then present the unvaccinated as the causes of everyone's troubles and not fellow Canadians who have often been misled by some very sophisticated, unscrupulous people.  The federal Liberal and CBC message on the truck protests has been that they are all far-right extremists who can never be spoken to, rather than a mix of ordinary right-wing activists and a few very hateful people.  This may drive some people who disagree with the Liberals on pandemic policy farther right. 

(OTOH, the truckers who wave banners saying "F**** Trudeau" are also confused about the difference between activism and clickbait - like him or not, Trudeau is in charge of the government whose policy they want to change).

I think a harder-right version of the federal Conservatives would focus on blaming the troubles of renters and resource workers on someone who does not vote in Canada, on opposing state action to shore up indigenous and visual minority rights, on opposing the idea of gender as identity, and on talking about how public health policy should be based on individual freedom.  But it really depends on who they chose as leader and which of that leader's gambits seem to get traction.

456
Conservative MPs have voted to removed Erin O'Toole as leader of the party after only 18 months in office https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-erin-otoole-loses-conservative-party-leadership-vote/  One of the paradoxes of Canadian politics is that the Tories retain more of the 20th century tradition of MP independence than the other big federal parties.  In general they are authoritarian, but not so much within their caucus.

The old media continue to obsessively cover the truck protests and imply that they are something like the tiki-torch brigade in Charlottesville NC

457
Discussion and Debate - The Philosopher's Plaza / Re: Afghanistan
« on: February 01, 2022, 08:45:33 PM »
George Packer has a long piece in The Atlantic about how the current US presidency seems to have had two goals in Afghanistan: for as few as possible US soldiers (all volunteers!) to die, and for as few Afghans as possible to reach the United States https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2022/03/biden-afghanistan-exit-american-allies-abandoned/621307/  There was a much more extensive evacuation when the US lost in Vietnam (whole nations like the Hmong moved to the United States!)

Shame, immortal shame

458
General Chatter - The Boozer / Re: Jan Pub - Friday 28th?
« on: January 29, 2022, 03:27:21 AM »
During the discussion, the topic of people on social media becoming aggressive when faced with the mildest disagreement.  I recently talked about that and why I refuse to engage with people who think some races (and you know which ones) are genetically predisposed to be smarter than others (and you know which ones).  In theory that is no different a claim than "people from some areas are genetically predisposed to be better at running" or "people from some areas are genetically predisposed to be more vulnerable to certain diseases" but in practice you get swarmed with people trying to fool you to believe their prejudices are true.  Yes, engaging in evidence-based discussion with people who say things you doubt is admirable, but engaging open mindedly with every get-rich quick scheme is not so admirable.  And I don't have the skills to look closely at claims based on statistics or genetics.

460
The story of the frozen migrants is even stranger and sadder, because it appears they were resident in Canada and trying to enter the United States.  How could being in the United States rather than Canada be worth risking your children's lives for in 2022?

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/border-crossing-bodies-found-frozen-family-identified-1.6329959

And it turns out that the requirement that truckers entering the USA be vaccinated against COVID (just like people entering countries often have to show other vaccinations to enter) was imposed by the Biden administration and covers both Canada and Mexico.  So just what the convoy to Ottawa thinks they will achieve is not clear to me..

461
General Chatter - The Boozer / Re: Cute and Wholesome Picture Thread
« on: January 27, 2022, 09:28:23 PM »
Do you bring a camera with lens that can move back and forth, or just a cell phone camera?  You make good closeups.

462
I'm sure JBP's retirement was entirely down to persecution by the woke far left Maoists of Toronto and absolutely nothing to do with his own health issues caused by benzodiazepine addiction.
And despite the hit from the period when he was in a coma in Europe, I am pretty sure he makes much more giving angry speeches and peddling advice by the hour than as a tenured professor.  And he avoids pesky ethical restrictions and work responsibilities.  For example, at one point the university noticed that he was posting videos of his university lectures on his subscription social media, and asked questions about "have you looked at the part of your contract which forbids that?"

I watched a clip of him on JRE earlier today and good lord has he lost the plot. He always had a talent for spouting nonsense when it came to religion and philosophy but he claimed that "the bible was literally the only book" in western culture and thus that every book since has derived from the bible and that somehow this makes the bible not merely true, but the basis or essence of truth.
It seems like this is a structural issue in the rich Anglo countries.  Remember the New Atheists and the rationalists?  They tended to make howlers about philosophy (is-ought fallacy denialism, naturalistic fallacy denialism) and the history of religion (19th century writers of angry speeches as the best sources for the history of the Catholic church).  And Steven Pinker has written nonsense about history too.  So there are quite a few educated people professing about humanities topics without bothering to learn what actual professionals think or how they work.

Petersen's ideas about Christianity have a creepy "noble lie" smell.  He won't say that he is Christian, but he wants society to be Christian.

463
The federal government is requiring truckers who wish to enter Canada to provide proof of vaccination against COVID.  The Tories are up in arms about this and a convoy of trucks is heading to Ottawa to protest all vaccine mandates and all restrictions on the access of unvaccinated people to public spaces.

A group of four migrants froze to death after crossing into Canada on foot in a heavy storm to evade the Safe Third Country Agreement which sends migrants who appear at official border crossings back to the United States. 

Jordan Peterson finally retired from the University of Toronto and opened the new phase of his career with two opinion pieces in Canada's farther-right national daily the National Post.  One complained that about the sinister wokes at the University of Toronto and presented his retirement with emeritus status as the result of persecution, the other came out hardcore against public health measures.  I quote excerpts to give the flavour:

Quote
"I spent more than three hours on the phone this weekend trying to get through to the online security department of one of Canada’s major banks. ... This all occurred after my patience had already been exhausted in the aftermath of trying to fly in Canada. ... because I am an entitled Westerner, accustomed to my privileges, I got whiny about it. ... We’ve demolished two Christmas seasons in a row. Life is short. These are rare occasions. We’re stopping kids from attending school. We’re sowing mistrust in our institutions in a seriously dangerous manner. We’re frightening people to make them comply. ... I was recently in Nashville, Tennessee. No lockdowns. No masks. No COVID regulations to speak of. People are going about their lives. Why can that be the case in Tennessee (and in other U.S. states, such as Florida) when there are curfews (curfews!) in Quebec, two years after the pandemic started, with a vaccination rate of nearly 80 per cent? (The rate of death from COVID per million Tennesseers is more than four times the rate of death from COVID in my part of Canada- ed.)

... hiding behind our masks, afraid to send our children (who are in no danger more serious than risk of the flu) to school, charging university students full tuition for tenth-rate online “education,” pitting family member against family member over vaccine policy and, most seriously, compromising the great economic engine upon which our health also depends? ... Enough masks. Enough social gathering limitations. Enough restaurant closures. Enough undermining of social trust. Make the bloody vaccines available to those who want them. Quit using force to ensure compliance on the part of those who don’t. ... Set a date. Open the damn country back up, before we wreck something we can’t fix.

He is scheduled to give a talk in Tennessee in March.

BC's capacity to track the COVID pandemic except as cases in hospital and RNA in sewage has collapsed over the past few weeks due to the explosion in cases of Omicron.

464
Discussion and Debate - The Philosopher's Plaza / Re: UK Politics 2022
« on: January 24, 2022, 07:52:44 PM »
It is a truth universally acknowledged that its not the crime that gets you, its the cover-up (see also: never break two laws at the same time).

465
Over on the Bronze Age Centre, I posted a summary of the woods used to make spears in prehistoric Britain.  As far as I can tell, its taboo for archaeologists in many countries to publish the interesting bits of a spear (the shaft) or record which wood was found in the socket of the spearhead.

https://www.tapatalk.com/groups/bronze_age_center/materials-of-bronze-age-british-spears-t2107.html

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