Things continue to shift towards Republicans - media narrative hasn't been as good for Democrats which is one of those self-fulfilling prophecy things. Pennsylvania has tightened a LOT, which afaict is largely due to Republicans successfully being very ableist about the Democrat, Fetterman (who's recovering from a stroke) and portraying him as not up to the job. Georgia hasn't tightened so much, so I think the easiest GOP path now might be to hold Pennsylvania and take Nevada. I'm going to say that's a toss-up, and also suggest it doesn't matter a ton.
Why doesn't it matter? Because unless the Democrats win the house AND expland their lead in the Senate, something that'd now require a bunch of polling problems in Democrats' favour, the trajectory of the next two years is pretty similar: that Democrats can get very little done that's non-executive, and will be scrambling to keep the WH in 2024 and hoping to goodness that the margins then are chunky enough that the Republicans don't feel they can just straight-up abolish democracy. Also the Democrats could easily have a rough Senate year in 2024: they've got West Virginia, Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin to defend, and their best grounds for attack are like... Florida, Indiana, and Texas, which are hardly promising.
So I think the US is probably set for something like deadlock with a seasonal chance of anti-democratic coups for at least the next half-decade, and who knows what it'll look like after that.